Eight drafts posted for reading (July 2026), plus the consolidated reproducibility annex. Papers I–III, the legal article and the geomagnetic article are now at manuscript v1.1.0 — their final revised editions — and the launcher-science study, the planetary-defence authorisation paper and the programme capstone are new. Two revise work already on this page: the geomagnetic paper corrects four overclaims in the Phase II web version, and Paper II supersedes the earlier 49 km analyses. All are drawn from publication package v1.2.0, whose 228-file checksum manifest verifies clean; DOIs are not yet minted.
Supplementary materialsReproducibility annex v1.0.0 · superseded by package v1.2.0
Supplementary Materials & Reproducibility Annex (Papers I–III + geomagnetic)
Model, parameter tables, deposited data, code listings, tests, SHA-256 manifest
Answers the reader's “where does that number come from?” in one place: study constants and mass budget, every governing relation as implemented, the deposited data tables (reference family, 28-point frontier, orbit screen), the full code listings, the passing unit tests, and a SHA-256 manifest. Note: this annex is the v1.0.0 edition and documents the original seven-test suite; the current package carries 21 unit tests and adds the programme cost model. Retained for reference until the annex is rebuilt.
Working draft · v1.1.0Not yet submitted · revision in progress
Conventional Counterspace Conduct and the Outer Space Treaty
Article VI supervision, responsible behaviour and nationally anchored market conditionality
Article IV of the 1967 Outer Space Treaty does not comprehensively prohibit conventional weapons, anti-satellite capabilities or all military activity in outer space — but that proposition does not create a legal vacuum. This draft develops Article VI supervision, responsible-behaviour norms and nationally anchored market conditionality as the operative framework for conduct the treaty does not specifically prohibit. Companion to the published “Orbital Denial” paper.
Working draft · v0.2.0Circulated for comment · not yet submitted
Authorising Planetary Defence
Article IV characterisation, Article VI supervision and independent oversight for high-energy civil planetary-defence research systems
The companion legal paper that ARGUS-PD/POD-7K Paper II defers to. Characterises the hypothetical system under Article IV of the Outer Space Treaty (conventional-kinetic research outside the Article IV(1) WMD prohibition; Article IV(2) celestial-body limits regardless of civil labelling), analyses registration and liability for objects launched from an orbiting platform, engages Koplow's counter-position on debris-creating destructive testing, and proposes an independent-oversight model in which authorisation advances only through the technical series' own evidence gates — offered as policy consistent with existing law, not as existing law.
Working draft · v1.1.0Not yet submitted · revision in progress
Feasibility Bounds for Geomagnetic Attitude Control of Very Large Flexible Space Structures
An IGRF-14 orbit screen, slew lower bounds and control-structure qualifications — revised edition
Derives feasibility bounds for magnetic attitude actuation of a very large flexible structure in low Earth orbit. This edition corrects four overclaims in the earlier version published on this site — beginning with the recognition that magnetorquers are not the only propellantless source of external torque. Supersedes the Phase II web version above.
Working draft · v1.1.0Not yet submitted · revision in progress
ARGUS-PD/POD-7K Paper I — Parametric Design-Space Analysis of a Modular Projectile Family and Electromagnetic Launch Interface
Methodological, not demonstrative — the projectile-side design space
Examines the projectile-side design space of a hypothetical seven-kilometre electromagnetic planetary-defence research system, coupling moving mass, release speed, kinetic energy and momentum across a modular projectile family and its launch interface. The reference point is a 0.300 kg complete moving assembly at 1,000 km s⁻¹ — a definition that resolves a contradiction in earlier drafts, which assigned 0.300 kg to the core alone while treating the collar and release package as uncounted mass.
Working draft · v1.1.0Not yet submitted · revision in progress
ARGUS-PD/POD-7K Paper II — Integrated Architecture and Feasibility Bounds at a Fixed Seven-Kilometre Active Length
Launcher, pulse energy, structure, thermal, control, deployment and civil governance — integrated
Integrates the launcher, pulse-energy, structural, thermal, control, deployment and civil-governance consequences of fixing the hypothetical research system at exactly 7,000 m active length. Supersedes the earlier 49 km analyses.
Working draft · v1.1.0Not yet submitted · revision in progress
ARGUS-PD/POD-7K Paper III — Coupled Feasibility Boundaries, Uncertainty Propagation and Falsification Criteria
Closes the sequential core: a reproducible parametric closure with explicit falsification criteria
Replaces the earlier narrative series synthesis with a reproducible parametric closure of the ARGUS-PD/POD-7K research architecture — asking under what combinations of modelling error its feasibility claims would fail, and stating the criteria on which the architecture should be rejected.
Working draft · v1.0.0New — standalone study · not yet submitted
ARGUS-PD/POD-7K Launcher Science and Application Envelope
Distributed pulse-module architecture, counter-impulse closure, projectile-family physics and space-only research utility
Asks what a seven-kilometre launcher and its projectile family would be scientifically useful for if the mechanism could be made to work — with asteroid deflection retained as one worked application rather than the organising purpose. Separates two control spaces: the 150 GJ iso-energy family (0.300 kg at 1,000 km s⁻¹ through to 30 kg at 100 km s⁻¹, where direct momentum rises tenfold as speed falls) and a variable-energy sequence for the 0.300 kg article spanning 0.15 to 150 GJ. Treats the rear-valve proposal honestly as momentum export: a 3 MN s shot moves a 2,000 t platform by 1.5 m s⁻¹, and cancelling it would need 666.7 kg expelled at 4.5 km s⁻¹ without removing structural reaction. Also screens interplanetary dust as an impactor in the projectile frame — at 1,000 km s⁻¹ a 1 µg grain carries 500 J. Concludes the strongest independent cases are hypervelocity impact and shock research, not intervention. Orbital-debris use is explicitly rejected because fragmentation can worsen the hazard.
Working draft · v1.0.0New — programme capstone · not yet submitted
ARGUS-PD/POD-7K Programme Capstone — Operational Plausibility, Build Sequence, Cost Exposure, Governed Control and Strategic Space Advantage
What a consortium would have to build, in what order, at what cost, under which control regime
Papers I–III establish a controlled theoretical programme; they do not establish that anything can be built, afforded, deployed or authorised. This capstone addresses that gap without converting a research concept into an operational plan. Four findings. Eight years is a decision horizon, not an operational date — a first supervised civil capability sits in a conditional 12–16-year window. Batteries buffer but cannot pulse: the 514.286 GJ nameplate is about 36.5 Tesla Megapacks by stored energy, yet their 35.7 MW output against a 30.6 TW admitted-power screen leaves a power-rate gap of ~8.6×10⁵; Sandia's Z facility is ~2.3×10⁴ times smaller by stored energy. A line-by-line cost re-audit gives an $18.1 bn direct most-likely sum, and a risk-loaded P50 of $24.3 bn and P80 of $27.1 bn in constant June-2026 dollars — research-planning assumptions, not quotations. And strategic advantage is argued as credible while unilateral supremacy is explicitly rejected.